When most people think about mortgage rates in Canada, they think about inflation here at home, jobs here at home, and Bank of Canada announcements. Those things absolutely matter. But global events matter too, and right now they matter a lot. On March 18, 2026, the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25 percent and made it clear that the war in the Middle East has increased volatility in energy prices and financial markets, while raising risks for the global economy. Global News also reported that policymakers are watching the conflict closely because higher oil, transportation and fertilizer costs could spill into inflation and affordability pressures for Canadians. This matters if you are buying, refinancing, renewing, or simply trying to decide whether to lock in a rate. In my view, the real story is not just that Canada held rates steady. The bigger story is that global pressure can quickly change where mortgage rates go next, even when nothing dramatic has changed in your own neighbourhood. Why a war far from Canada can affect your mortgage Canada does not set mortgage rates in a bubble. The Bank of Canada said the conflict has driven sharp increases in global oil and natural gas prices, and that it could also disrupt the movement of other commodities, including fertilizer, through transportation bottlenecks linked to the Strait of Hormuz. Governor Tiff Macklem added that while Canada is not hit directly in the same way as some regions, reduced global supply still means higher global prices. That is the kind of pressure that can make inflation harder to control. When inflation risks rise, central banks get cautious. That does not always mean an immediate rate hike, but it can mean fewer cuts, longer holds, or tougher language. That is exactly why this latest Bank of Canada announcement matters. The Bank held, but it also signaled that the outlook is more uncertain and that it is prepared to respond as conditions evolve. What this means for variable mortgage rates If you have a variable rate mortgage, the Bank of Canada is still the main thing to watch. Variable rates in Canada are closely tied to lender prime rates, and prime typically moves when the Bank changes its overnight rate. As of March 27, 2026, Canada’s prime rate is 4.45 percent, and Ratehub notes that variable mortgage rates have remained stable following last week’s rate hold. So, for now, borrowers with variable rates have not seen a fresh jump just because of the war. But the risk has changed. If global conflict keeps energy prices elevated and inflation proves harder to cool, future cuts may be delayed. In plain English, this means some borrowers who were hoping for lower payments later this year may need to prepare for a longer period of higher borrowing costs than expected. That is not a certainty, but it is a reasonable takeaway from the Bank’s current tone. Variable rate borrowers should focus on payment room If you are in a variable rate mortgage right now, this is a good time to review your budget honestly. Ask yourself whether your payment still feels comfortable if rates stay where they are for longer. A lot of borrowers were planning around future relief. The new global backdrop is a reminder that relief can get delayed very quickly. What this means for fixed mortgage rates Fixed rates are a little different. They are not priced directly off the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. TD explains that fixed mortgage rates are based on the bond market, with Government of Canada bond yields used as a benchmark. Ratehub now says the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the shrinking likelihood of central bank cuts are pushing bond yields higher, and that fixed mortgage rates increased significantly this week. That distinction is important. Even if the Bank of Canada does nothing at its next meeting, fixed rates can still move. If investors keep pricing in higher inflation risk, lenders can raise fixed mortgage pricing before the Bank ever changes its policy rate. For buyers and renewing homeowners in Edmonton, that means waiting can carry a real cost. What buyers and homeowners in Edmonton should do now I think this is a planning market, not a panic market. The latest data does not say every borrower should rush into the same product. It does say that global events are now part of the mortgage conversation again, and ignoring them is a mistake. If you are buying, get pre approved and secure a rate hold while you shop. Ratehub notes that current pricing can often be held for up to 120 days, which can be valuable in a market where fixed rates are moving. If you are renewing, compare your options early instead of waiting for the lender’s first offer. If you are refinancing, think beyond rate alone and look at cash flow, penalty costs, and how much payment certainty matters to you right now.  The bottom line The Bank of Canada did not raise rates in March. But the global pressure behind mortgage rates is clearly building. War driven energy shocks can feed inflation. Inflation pressure can keep central banks cautious. Cautious central banks and rising bond yields can keep mortgage costs higher for longer. That is the chain Canadians need to understand right now. If you want to talk through your options in Edmonton, I am happy to help you compare fixed and variable strategies based on your timeline, budget, and risk comfort. Call 403-968-2784 or email christine@flaremortgagegroup.com to start the conversation.

The biggest question I am getting right now from buyers in Edmonton and area is simple. Should I lock in my rate or go variable in 2026? With rate changes over the past two years and renewed speculation about what the Bank of Canada will do next, choosing between fixed and variable is no longer a simple decision. The right strategy depends on your goals, risk tolerance, and timeline. Let me break it down clearly so you can decide what makes sense for you. Where Mortgage Rates Stand in 2026 After a volatile cycle of increases followed by gradual easing, 2026 has introduced more stability into the mortgage market. Fixed rates have adjusted downward from peak levels, while variable rates have started to look competitive again as expectations grow around future Bank of Canada rate cuts. Here is the key difference: Fixed rate mortgage: Your interest rate stays the same for your full term. Your payments stay predictable. Variable rate mortgage: Your rate moves with the prime rate. Payments or interest portion may change depending on your lender structure. Buyers in Edmonton are asking whether stability is worth paying slightly more today, or if flexibility and potential savings are worth some short term uncertainty. When Locking In Makes Sense in 2026 There are situations where a fixed rate mortgage is the smarter move. You Want Payment Stability If you are buying your first home or stretching your budget, stability matters. A fixed rate protects you from surprises and allows you to plan with confidence. You Believe Rates Could Rise Again While forecasts suggest moderate easing, inflation and global economic uncertainty still exist. If rates rise unexpectedly, fixed rate borrowers are protected. You Prefer Peace of Mind Some buyers simply sleep better knowing their payment will not change. There is real value in that. For families purchasing in Edmonton, especially those managing childcare costs or other major expenses, predictability often outweighs potential savings. When Variable Could Be the Better Strategy Variable rates are making a comeback in 2026. Here is why they are worth considering. You Expect Further Rate Cuts If the Bank of Canada continues to reduce rates later this year, variable mortgage holders benefit immediately. You Plan to Sell or Refinance Variable mortgages often have lower penalties if you break your term early. If you plan to move, refinance, or restructure in a few years, this flexibility can save thousands. You Have Financial Cushion If your budget allows room for payment fluctuations, variable can be a strategic way to reduce long term interest costs. Historically, variable rates have often outperformed fixed over the full term. The key is whether you are comfortable riding out short term volatility. Comparing Fixed and Variable in 2026 Here is a simplified comparison to help buyers in Edmonton understand the trade offs. Fixed Rate Payment Stability: High Rate Movement: None during term Penalty to Break: Higher Best For: Risk averse buyers Potential Savings: Stable but limited Variable Rate Payment Stability: Moderate Rate Movement: Moves with prime Penalty to Break: Often lower Best For: Flexible buyers Potential Savings: Greater if rates fall A Smart Strategy for Today's Buyers There is no universal answer. The best mortgage strategy in 2026 depends on three things. Your financial comfort level Your timeline in the property Your long term plans Some buyers are even choosing shorter fixed terms, such as three years, to balance stability and flexibility. Others are exploring adjustable variable options with capped payments. As your mortgage professional in Edmonton, my role is to walk you through real numbers, not headlines. We run payment scenarios under different rate environments so you can see exactly what risk and reward look like. What First Time Buyers Should Consider If you are entering the market for the first time, qualifying is already stressful. In many cases, locking in can simplify your transition into homeownership. If you are upgrading and have equity, you may have more room to take a calculated risk with variable. Every Buyer's Situation is Unique Rates are no longer at emergency lows, but they are also not at peak highs. That creates opportunity. The question is not whether fixed or variable is better in general. The question is which one fits your life right now. If you are buying in Alberta, let's build a strategy that protects your budget and positions you for long term success.  Call 403-968-2784 or email christine@flaremortgagegroup.com to review your options. I would be happy to walk you through the numbers and help you make a confident decision.

Why International Tensions Could Shift Real Estate Opportunities at Home

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Why a Cooling Market Could Be the Best Time to Buy a Home in Canada

Parents Can’t Gift You a Down Payment? Here’s Another Option When most people think of getting help from family for a down payment, they picture a non-repayable gift from parents. While that’s ideal for some, it’s simply not possible for every family. Maybe your parents still need those funds for retirement, or they can’t afford to part with a large sum permanently. That doesn’t mean you’re out of options. In Canada, you can receive your down payment as a loan from immediate family —not just a gift. This is a perfectly legal and lender-acceptable option, as long as it’s properly documented in a contract . The agreement can set the loan at zero percent interest or at a rate both parties agree on. It’s flexible, and it could help you enter the housing market sooner. The Benefits of a Family Loan for Your Down Payment A family loan can help you: Buy with minimum down instead of waiting years to save Get to 20% down to skip default insurance premiums Avoid higher borrowing costs from private or alternative lenders Secure funds with terms that work for both you and your parents Sometimes that extra push from a loan can mean the difference between qualifying now or having to wait while home prices rise. How Lenders View a Family Loan Lenders will see this loan just like any other debt. That means the repayment amount, interest rate, and payment schedule will be factored into your debt service ratios when they determine how much mortgage you qualify for. The loan agreement must be written, signed, and legally binding , not just a handshake deal. Lenders will typically request a copy, along with proof of the funds being transferred to you. This ensures everything is transparent and above board. Setting Up the Loan Agreement Here’s what to include in a simple, effective loan contract between you and your parents: Principal amount (how much they’re lending you) Interest rate (can be 0% or agreed-upon) Repayment schedule (monthly, annually, lump sum, or at sale of the home) Term length (how long until the loan must be repaid) Signatures of all parties involved It’s always best to have a lawyer review the agreement. This protects both you and your parents and ensures it meets lender requirements. Example Scenario Let’s say you’ve saved $40,000, but you need $70,000 to make a 20% down payment and avoid default insurance. Your parents could lend you the extra $30,000, documented in a contract stating you’ll repay them over 10 years at zero percent interest. Your lender would include the calculated monthly payment in your debt servicing, and if you qualify, you could buy your home now instead of saving for years. Making It a Win-Win for Everyone A family loan is a smart way to keep your parents’ funds intact while still helping you secure a property. They retain access to their capital in the future, and you get the advantage of buying now while market conditions work in your favour. When I work with clients in these situations, I always encourage a family meeting so everyone feels informed and confident. It’s not just about qualifying for a mortgage—it’s about making sure the arrangement works for everyone’s financial goals. Final Thoughts If your parents can’t gift you a down payment, a family loan could be the perfect middle ground. It keeps their retirement secure, helps you avoid costly insurance premiums, and gets you into the market faster. The key is making sure it’s done right—with clear terms, proper legal documentation, and lender approval. If you’d like to explore how this could work for you, I’m happy to help run the numbers, review scenarios, and meet with your family to make sure everyone’s on the same page. Contact me today at 403-968-2784 or christine@flaremortgagegroup.com to learn more about using a family loan for your down payment and start your homebuying journey now.

A Rate Hold Isn’t a Guarantee—And That Could Cost You the Home Getting pre-approved for a mortgage should feel like progress. It’s exciting, empowering, and often the first concrete step toward buying a home. But here’s the hard truth: if your mortgage pre-approval wasn’t put together properly—or if your broker or banker skipped key steps—it could be virtually worthless when you need it most. Let’s break down what a pre-approval really means, what a rate hold does (and doesn’t) do, and why experience matters more than ever in a fast-paced, competitive real estate market. What Is a Mortgage Pre-Approval Really ? A mortgage pre-approval generally includes two things: A conditional approval based on the numbers provided by your broker or banker. A rate hold that locks in an interest rate (typically for 90–120 days), giving you time to shop with peace of mind. But here’s the issue: most lenders don’t actually do a full review of your application until it becomes “live”—that is, until you’ve written an offer that’s been accepted. Before that, they’re mostly relying on the information submitted by your broker or banker , not what they’ve verified themselves.

When people hear “no-payment mortgage,” they often assume it’s too good to be true or that it comes with hidden risks. But in Canada, these options are designed to be conservative and sustainable, giving homeowners more financial flexibility without putting them in a bad financial position. There are three main types of no-payment mortgage options: Reverse Mortgages – Available to homeowners 55+ with significant home equity. Alternative Lenders – Offer similar options regardless of age but require strong equity. Private Lenders – Short-term solutions for homeowners who need temporary relief. Let’s break them down and see if one might be a good fit for you. Reverse Mortgages: Not as Risky as You Think Reverse mortgages tend to get a bad reputation, mostly because of how they were handled in the U.S. years ago. But in Canada, lenders are far more conservative. The biggest difference? Canadian reverse mortgages never allow you to owe more than your home is worth . How Do They Work? You must be 55 or older to qualify. You can borrow a portion of your home’s value , usually up to 55% . The older you are, the more you can borrow —since the lender calculates how long you’re likely to stay in the home. You don’t make monthly payments —instead, the interest gets added to your loan balance over time. When you sell or move, the loan is repaid from your home’s value. Why Can’t You Owe More Than Your Home’s Value? Most lenders offer a no-negative equity guarantee , meaning even if home prices drop, your estate will never owe more than your house is worth. But realistically, Canadian home values have remained stable or increased over time , making it unlikely you’d ever reach that point.

Should I renew or refinance my mortgage? Millions of Canadians are reaching the end of their mortgage term, eager to secure the best possible rate. While many focus on renewing their existing mortgage, they may overlook the possibility of refinancing—a decision that could make a big difference in their financial picture.  What’s the Difference Between Renewal and Refinance? Renewal: At the end of your mortgage term (commonly 5 years), you need to “renew” your loan to keep it active. When you renew, your mortgage balance and amortization period (the total time you have to pay it off) stay the same. You can renegotiate your interest rate, but you can’t borrow additional funds or change the original loan amount. Example. You bought a home in June 2020 and had a mortgage of $400,000. After a 5-year term at 1.70%, your outstanding mortgage balance will be around $332,939.71, assuming you haven’t made any extra payments. At this point, you’ll need to renegotiate a new interest rate and choose a new term based on your remaining balance. Refinance: Refinancing allows you to restructure your mortgage. You can change the loan amount, extend the amortization period, and often access your home’s equity. This flexibility gives you the option to lower monthly payments, consolidate debt, or free up cash for other purposes like renovations or investing. Example: Say your home’s value has grown significantly since you first purchased it. Through refinancing, you could borrow more against that increased equity, giving you funds to complete a kitchen renovation, start a small business, or pay off higher-interest debts. The Impact of Rising Rates If you locked in a 1.70% fixed rate five years ago, today’s rates—often over 4.50%—may feel like a big leap. Simply renewing might leave you with a payment shock. Refinancing, however, gives you the ability to adjust your monthly obligations, even as rates rise, by stretching out your amortization or accessing equity for financial goals.